10 replies to this topic

[Vibhuism]

Italian Open is the last big tournament before French Open. The rankings post Italian Open will help to decide the seedings for Roland Garros, 2014. As the draw of Roland Garros is on 23rd May, 2014 (Friday), the seedings of Roland Garros will be based on the ATP Rankings post Italian Open, 2014.

 

 

 

This is how the ATP rankings of Top-20 looked like, just before the start of Italian Open, 2014 -----

 

 

 

 

 

The following questions are most relevant from an ATP ranking point of view ::

 

 

(i) Will there be a change in the rankings of Top-4 after Italian Open 2014?

 

 

 

 

 

(ii) Can Roger Federer get back in to Top-3 after Italian Open or will Stan Wawrinka still be the #3 ranked player after Italian Open, 2014?

 

 

(iii) Will Rafael Nadal retain his #1 ranking post Italian Open or can, Djokovic regain #1 ranking after 33 weeks? How much the points difference will be between Rafael Nadal  & Novak Djokovic after Italian Open 2014?

(iv) What will be the ATP points of Top 8 be in the ATP Ranking points to be declared on 9th May, 2014 (after Italian Open 2014)?

 

 

(v)  Will Roger Federer stay in the Top-4 after Italian Open, 2014 & get a Top-4 seeding at French Open, 2014?

 

 

 

For getting the answers to all these questions about ranking scenarios and possibilities during & immediately after Italian Open 2014 and the ranking scenarios for all other players including Andy Murray, David Ferrer, Tomas Berdych, Del potro, John Isner, Tsonga, Gasquet, Raonic, Dimitrov, Nishikori, Fognini please scroll down to the following posts or click here.

[Vibhuism]

Before we go any further, here's a quick reminder of how many ATP points are at stake in ATP 1000 tournaments including Italian Open (Roma Masters), 2014?


1. The winner gets 1000 points.


2. The losing finalist gets 600 points.


3. The losing Semi-finalist gets 360 points each.


4. The losing Quarter-Finalist gets 180 points each.


5. The loser of Round of 16 gets 90 points each.


6. The loser of Round of 32 takes 45 points each. (but, the top 8 seeds who get a bye in the Round of 64 will get only 10 points in case they lose out in the Round of 32).


7. The winner of Round of 64 gets 10 points each.



8 points are awarded to first round losers only if the main draw is larger than 56 players in case of ATP 1000 Tournaments.

 

 

 

Also, it needs to be mentioned that the the top 8 seeds get a bye in their first match in ATP 1000 Tournaments having 56 players in the main draw while 32 Top seeds get a bye in a 96 players main draw ATP 1000 Tourney.

[Vibhuism]

Here is the per round calculation sheet of Top-8 players post Madrid Italian Open, 2014 ::

 

 

 

 roma 2014 by Vibhu batra.pdf   163.41KB   474 downloads

 

 

 

PS: Feel Free to download it to understand how points are added & subtracted.

 

 

 

For further analysis of the ranking changes possible after Madrid Masters, 2014, scroll down...

 

[Vibhuism]

From the above calculation sheet, these are the main ranking scenario changes that we can see after Rome Masters, 2014 ::

 

 

 

(i) Rafa Nadal's #1 ATP ranking is safe till the end of Italian Open, as you can see from the above chart. Thus, Rafa Nadal will at least be #1 for *at least* 3 more weeks & will complete 137 weeks @ #ATP #1 on the final day of French Open, 2014.

 

 

(ii)  Stan Wawrinka's #3 ranking will be 100% safe if he reaches the semi-finals of Italian Open, 2014.

 

 

(iii) Roger Federer can only get to #3 rank post Italian Open if he reaches the final & Wawrinka loses before the Semi-final stage.

 

 

The most important thing from a ranking perspective is - will Federer be ranked #4 after Italian Open, 2014 & get a Top-4 seeding at Roland Garros, 2014

 

 

I have discussed it in great details right here.

 

 

Just to summarize it ----

 

 

Roger Federer will surely be ranked #4 post Italian Open & get a #4 seeding at Roland Garros, 2014 under the following conditions ----

 

 

 

(i) If if Federer doesn't win a match at Rome & David Ferrer loses before the semi-finals or Berdych doesn't win the Rome title.

 

(ii) If Federer reaches the QF of Rome (& loses in the QF) & Ferrer loses before the final of Rome.

 

(iii) if Federer reaches the SF of Rome & Ferrer doesn't win the Rome title.

 

 

Thus, if Federer reaches the finals of Rome, then he surely will be ranked #4 post Italian Open, 2014 & get a #4 seeding at French Open, 2014, even if Berdych or Ferrer win the Italian Open, 2014 title.

 

 

For any query about any other's players ranking, feel free to drop in a comment or add me on any of the social networking sites mentioned in my signature. I will try to reply as soon as possible.

 

 

For the detailed draw of Italian Open, 2014 click here.

[Tennis Lover]

Thanks, Vibhu! Let's hope Roger wins in Rome. That will make him no. 3 and more importantly, that will give Roger confidence to do well in RG!

[sausan]

Thanks a lot Vibhu..... Hope Federer win in Rome

[Vibhuism]

Update: now that Tomas Berdych has lost in the 3rd Round, only 1 scenario is left.

 

 

If David Ferrer wins his tomorrow's QF match vs Djokovic/kohlschreiber, he will move up to #4 in the ranking & get #4 seeding at Roland Garros, 2014.

 

 

 

& If Ferrer loses tomorrow's QF match, Roger Federer will be the #4 seed at Roland Garros, 2014.

[Rita]

Hoping for a Djokovic win then.  Ferrer taking Roger's place just wouldn't seem right.

[Vibhuism]

Now that Djokovic has defeated Ferrer in the QF of Italian Open, 2014

 

 

 

 

This now means that Roger Federer will be #4 seed for Roland Garros....

 

 

Seedings for French Open, 2014 --------

 

 

 

Rafa Nadal #1,

 

 

Djokovic - #2,

 

 

Wawrinka - #3,

 

 

Federer - #4,

 

 

Ferrer - #5,

 

 

Berdych- #6,

 

 

Murray - #7,

 

 

Either Raonic or Dimitrov will be the #8 seed.... (If Raonic wins his SF match vs Djokovic, he will the confirmed #8 seed, if Raonic loses his SF match & Dimitrov goes on to win the Italian Open title, then Grigor Dimitrov will be the #8 seed at Roland Garros).

[Rita]

Thanks Vibhu, that's great news.  Let's just hope Roger can get his act together and get focused for RG.